The Chicago White Sox have had two of the worst seasons in Major League Baseball history in back-to-back years. The good news, though, is that after winning just 41 games in 2024, they improved in 2025 by winning 60 games. Of course, that means they still lost 102 contests, but improvement is improvement.
As the White Sox prepare to start the 2026 MLB season, there is hope that they will, once again, show some improvement. However, their latest win projection for 2026 shows that the improvements fans may want to see are still a year or two away.
Chicago White Sox over/under set at 67.5
Tim Kelly of Bleacher Report recently released his win projections for each Major League team in 2026. And while he does see Chicago taking a step forward, it is not that big of one.
“Make no mistake, the White Sox are still a few years away. But where there wasn’t anything to be excited about two seasons ago, you can start to see the makings of a core with Chase Meidroth, Colson Montgomery, Munetaka Murakami, Kyle Teel and Shane Smith. General manager Chris Getz also added two experienced veterans this offseason with outfielder Austin Hays and reliever Seranthony Domínguez, who can be the adults in the room.
“There’s still quite a bit of pitching development that needs to take place on the South Side, but there finally appears to be some light at the end of the tunnel for the Chi Sox.”
Prediction: 66-96 (Under)
As one can see, Kelly predicts that the White Sox will win 66 games in 2026, a six-game improvement from their 2025 win total.
However, while that is not much of an improvement, Kelly states that brighter days are, indeed, ahead in Chicago.
To be fair, they could not get much worse after a 41-121 season in 2024. However, their 19-game win improvement in 2025 was a massive step in the right direction.
66 wins in 2026 would not be as big of a step forward, but it would be a step nonetheless. With how good the White Sox offense has looked in Spring Training, it is not that far of a stretch to say that they will go as far as their pitching staff will take them.
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